📊 XAUUSD – NFP Day Strategy | 02-May-2025

Current Trend: Volatile | Technical Bias: Mixed | Sentiment: Cautious ahead of NFP

🔻🔺 Daily Trade Setup

🔴 Sell Zones: ‣ $3,310 → $3,330 → $3,360 → $3,380 → $3,400

🟢 Buy Zones: ‣ $3,210 → $3,180 → $3,150 → $3,120 → $3,100

🎯 Exit Strategy: Book $10–15 per trade. Reduce lot size in volatile spikes.

📅 Weekly Range Outlook

Major Selling Zones: $3,340 → $3,390 → $3,445 → $3,500
Major Buying Zones: $3,200 → $3,150 → $3,100 → $3,050

🎯 Weekly Exit Strategy: Book $20–30 per trade. Prioritize risk management.

🕓 2-Week Trading Structure

Buying Levels: $3,150 → $3,100 → $3,050 → $3,000
Selling Levels: $3,450 → $3,500 → $3,550 → $3,600

✅ Trading Plan – Buy on Dips | Sell on Reversals

🟢 For Rebound Trades:

Buy Entry Range: $3,210 → $3,190 → $3,170

Targets: TP1: $3,240 → TP2: $3,265 → TP3: $3,310 → TP4: $3,336

🔴 For Downtrend Continuation:

Sell Entry Range: $3,280 → $3,310 → $3,340

Targets: TP1: $3,260 → TP2: $3,240 → TP3: $3,200 → TP4: $3,170

📈 Technical Indicators Snapshot

Indicator Status
D1 SMA 100: Buy ($3,050.52)🔺
D1 SMA 200: Buy ($2,980.78)🔺
H4 SMA 100 / 200: Buy ($3,226.22 / $3,176.26)🔺
H1 SMA 100 / 200: Sell ($3,284.07 / $3,317.20)🔻

RSI(14): Status: Sell
STOCHRSI(14): Status: Buy
Stoch(9.6):Status: Sell
MACD(12,26):Status: Sell
ROC: Status: Status: Buy
William%R: Status: Neutral
High/Low: Status: Neutral
ATR(14): Status: Less Volatility
MACD / ADX / STOCH Mixed to Sell
Overall Sentiment:Cautiously Bullish

📌 Key Insights & Guidance

NFP volatility could drive sharp whipsaws—tighten SLs & adapt position sizing.

Monitor NFP jobs + wage growth and revisions to March figures.

Past zones have delivered profit—trade levels remain highly relevant.

📊 U.S. NFP Preview – May 2, 2025
Jobs Data in Focus Amid Trade War Tensions

🚨 Trump’s 145% China Tariffs + Levies on Canada & Mexico Markets on edge ahead of key U.S. labor data release.

📉 Forecast

• New Jobs: 133K (vs. 228K prior)
• Unemployment: 4.2%
• Wage Growth: +0.3% MoM / +3.9% YoY

📌 Key Indicators

• ADP: 62K (↓ sharply)
• Jobless Claims: 241K (highest since Aug ’23)
• ISM Employment: 46.5 (still contraction)

💵 Dollar Outlook

• Fed: No rate cuts until July (Hawkish)
• BoE: 100 bps cuts expected May 8 (Dovish)

🟡 Gold Market Outlook – XAU/USD at $3,255

• Recovering from 2-week low of $3,200
• Pattern: Cup & Handle forming → Breakout above $3,262 targets $3,295+
• Risk Drivers:
  – Tariff tension
  – Fed cut expectations
  – USD softness

📌 Watch Levels:

• Support: $3,200 → $3,180 → $3160 ( Opens gate for $3100)
• Resistance: $3,262 → $3,295 → $3,360 ( Open gate for $3450 again)
• Gold Reaction:
  – 🔽 Strong NFP → $3,180 Test
  – 🔼 Weak NFP → +$50-$80+ rally likely

📍 NFP = Volatility. Stay Ready. Follow Strategy.

🔔 Conclusion: Stay flexible. Let the data guide direction. We’re prepared for both breakout and correction scenarios. As always, protect capital first — opportunity follows discipline.

⚠️Warning : Do Not Risk more than 5% of your Capital, Trading in XAUUSD and Other financial instruments may result in substantial losses.